*Written prior to any week 1 games*
Draft List
Breece Hall (RB, NYJ): Hall finished as the overall RB2 last year in one of the worst offenses in the league with Zach Wilson at quarterback. Aaron Rodgers should be healthy most of the season, which will severely boost Hall’s touchdown upside, giving him overall RB1 potential.
James Cook (RB, BUF): A young and talented runningback looking at a potential breakout season with the loss of Gabe Davis and Stefon Diggs.
Kyle Pitts (TE, ATL): With offensive coordinator Arthur Smith gone and the recent signing of Kirk Cousins, his role in the offense will likely boast better fantasy numbers this season.
Kenneth Walker (RB, SEA): One of the most talented rushers right now, and if the Seattle offense starts clicking he could become a low-end RB1.
Travis Etienne (RB, JAX): A workhorse with a heavy role in his offensive; he should get lots of touches.
Jahmyr Gibbs (RB, DET): He should get many receptions in a top 5 offense, but his ceiling is slightly limited because of David Montgomery’s workshare with Gibbs.
Tank Dell (WR, HOU): CJ Stroud should only get better this year; with Dell potentially being Houston’s WR1, his ceiling is very high.
Saquon Barkley (RB, PHI): After finally joining a productive offense, Saquon’s role in Philly could consist of lots of carries and touchdowns.
Josh Allen (QB, BUF): He finished last year with 10 rushing touchdowns. While his team might decline, his fantasy production likely won’t – even though he is being drafted lower than in previous seasons.
Isaiah Pacheco (RB, KC): With Jerick McKinnon gone, Pacheco looks to be the surefire starting running back in arguably the best offense in the league. He should get an increased receiving and red zone workload.
Rashee Rice (WR, KC): After some legal troubles, it looks like Rice will not be suspended this year; giving him as high a ceiling as about any other WR (with an aging Travis Kelce too).
Derrick Henry (RB, BAL): Henry could potentially become the Ravens’ go-to third-down and touchdown guy.
Do Not Draft List
Kyren Williams (RB, LAR): After the announcement that he will be returning punts, and with the addition of Blake Corum, Williams should not be drafted in the first few rounds.
Malik Nabers (WR, NYG): Receivers typically need, at the very least, a top-16 QB to perform in fantasy. While very talented, Nabers lacks this for now.
Davante Adams (WR, LV): He’s an aging receiver with one of the worst starting quarterbacks in the league, so not worth a second-round draft pick.
Chris Olave (WR, NO): similar to Adams, Carr is in the bottom half of starting quarterbacks, so Olave being drafted in the middle of the second round is near his ceiling.
Drake London (WR, ATL): Yes, the addition of Kirk Cousins will revamp this offense, but London hasn’t given many signs in the last two seasons that he is a top 10 receiver in the league, we can’t see how he is worth an early-mid 2nd round pick.
Aaron Jones (RB, MIN): He’s too injury-prone to be relied on. A high risk with a relatively low reward.
Puka Nacua (WR, LAR): With the return of a healthy Cooper Kupp, Nacua’s productivity is likely to decrease this year.
Stefon Diggs (WR, HOU): We don’t see Diggs emerging above Nico collins or Tank Dell so a third or fourth-round pick would be a waste on a possible third-string wideout.
Travis Kelce (TE, KC): After his worst season in years the Chiefs have only added more receiving threats around him to reduce his target share. We do not see him finishing as a top-three tight end this season.
Sleepers
Blake Corum (RB, LAR): One of the best running backs in college football last year, Corum is a hard nosed runner who if given the opportunity, can become a viable starting running back option.
Jayden Reed (WR, GB): The possible WR1 for what could be one of the league’s best quarterbacks right now.
Terry McLaurin (WR, WAS): If Jayden Daniels performs and McLaurin finally has a good quarterback, he could be dangerous this year.
Jayden Daniels (QB, WAS): The best quarterback in college football last year with a developing offense and a new head coach; has an extremely high ceiling with his rushing usage.
Keon Coleman (WR, BUF): While it’s always risky to draft a rookie, Coleman could be Allen’s WR1 this season.
Justin Herbert (QB, LAC): A mobile and consistent quarterback with a potential improvement at head coach; will likely score good points no matter his weapons.
Zamir White (RB, LV): Balled out in the second half of last season; he should be very productive in this season, especially with inexperienced quarterback play.
Xavier Worthy (WR, KC): One of the league’s fastest players; he could be Mahomes’ next Tyreek Hill.
Evan Engram (TE, JAX): Finishing as the TE2 overall last year Engram is a very good option at tight end in a PPR league, as he had 114 receptions last year. The Jaguars offense stays mostly the same except for the departure of Calvin Ridley and the new rookie wide receiver Brian Thomas Jr.
Baker Mayfield (QB, TB): Baker has a strong WR core and a good offensive line; finished as a top-10 fantasy QB last year. Should be taken late as a backup QB with a high ceiling.
Isaiah Likely (TE, BAL): Likely impressed when Mark Andrews was injured in his rookie year; he should continue to get receptions this season – a great backup choice.
Josh Palmer (WR, LAC): Could very likely be Justin Herbert’s WR1 this year.
Jordan Love (QB, GB): Played an MVP-caliber series of games in the second half of last year. Love has extremely high potential but is slightly capped with minimal rushing upside.
Rico Dowdle (RB, DAL): The only young running back on a top-5 offense in the NFL, he has a real chance to emerge as the RB1 in this offense.
